| 地方财政风险测度与区域异质性分析 |
 点此下载全文 |
| 引用本文：刘建民1，张晓彤1，刘晓函1，吴金光2，刘嘉意3.地方财政风险测度与区域异质性分析[J].财经理论与实践,2024,(6):69-75 |
| 摘要点击次数: 311 |
| 全文下载次数: 93 |
|
|
| 中文摘要:防范化解地方财政风险是我国目前财政工作的重点。为此，利用2015—2021年全国246个城市的财政数据，从地方财政内部运行风险、地方财政体制机制风险、地方财政信用风险及地方财政内部治理风险四个维度构建地方财政风险评价体系，以测度分析地方财政风险。结果显示：全国地方财政风险稳定在0.4左右，但区域差异显著。西北、华北、华中及东北地区的城市的财政风险水平显著上升，华东、华南和西南地区的城市的财政风险水平较低。沿海、新一线及省会城市财政风险水平相对较低，优于非沿海、非新一线及非省会城市。鉴于此，应构建区域财力协调机制，以助力我国实现地方财政高质量发展。 |
| 中文关键词:地方财政风险 测度指标 区域异质性 |
| |
| Local Fiscal Risk Measurement and Regional Heterogeneity Analysis |
|
|
| Abstract:Preventing and resolving local fiscal risks is the focus of China’s current fiscal work. Therefore, the fiscal data of 246 cities nationwide from 2015 to 2021 are used to construct a local fiscal risk evaluation system to measure and analyse local fiscal risk from four dimensions: local fiscal internal operation risk, local fiscal institutional mechanism risk, local fiscal credit risk and local fiscal internal governance risk. The results show that the local financial risk is stable at around 0.4 nationwide, but with significant regional differences. The fiscal risk of cities in Northwest, North, Central and Northeast China has increased significantly, while the level of fiscal risk of cities in East, South and Southwest China is lower. Coastal, new first-tier and provincial capital cities have relatively low fiscal risks, which are better than non-coastal, non-new first-tier and non-provincial capital cities. Given this, a regional fiscal coordination mechanism should be constructed. The article provides references for China to realize the high-quality development of local finance. |
| keywords:local fiscal risk measurement indicators regional heterogeneity |
| 查看全文 查看/发表评论 下载pdf阅读器 |
|
|
|
