养老金并轨对劳动力流动的政策效果和作用机制研究

于新亮1; 张文瑞2; 郭文光1; 于文广1

养老金并轨对劳动力流动的政策效果和作用机制研究

引用本文：于新亮1，张文瑞2，郭文光1，于文广1.养老金并轨对劳动力流动的政策效果和作用机制研究[J].财经理论与实践,2022,(1):43-50

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作者	单位
于新亮1，张文瑞2，郭文光1，于文广1	(1.山东财经大学保险学院,山东济南 250014；2. 中国海洋大学管理学院,山东青岛 266100)

中文摘要:依托精算模型系统评估2015年中国养老金并轨改革对机关事业单位员工养老金收益的影响，发现实施养老金并轨后，机关事业单位员工的养老金收益普遍增加，并据此提出养老金并轨抑制机关事业单位员工离职倾向性假说。继而通过2010—2018年CFPS数据展开实证检验。结果表明：养老金并轨后机关事业单位劳动力流动性下降6.5%。这种流动抑制作用存在异质性，从个体层面，养老金并轨对10年过渡期以外退休的员工抑制作用更强；从地区层面，养老金并轨对机关事业单位工资高于当地平均工资地区的劳动力作用更强。

中文关键词:养老金并轨劳动力流动养老保障水平年金覆盖率

A Study on the Policy Effect and Mechanism of Pension Integration on Labor Mobility

Abstract:Based on the actuarial model, this paper systematically evaluates the impact of China’s pension integration reform on the pension income of employees in government organs and institutions in 2015, finds that after the implementation of pension integration, the pension income of employees in government organs and institutions generally increases, and puts forward the hypothesis that pension integration inhibits the turnover intention of employees in government organs and institutions. Then, the empirical test is carried out through the CFPS data from 2010 to 2018. The results show that after the pension integration, the labor mobility of government organs and institutions decreases by 6.5%. From the individual level, the pension integration has a stronger inhibitory effect on employees who retire beyond the ten-year transition period; from the regional level, pension integration has a stronger effect on the labor force in areas where the wages of government institutions are higher than the local average wages.

keywords:pension integration labor mobility pension security level annuity coverage

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