东道国金融发展影响中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移的实证检验
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引用本文:刘莉君1,刘雪婧1,2,刘友金1.东道国金融发展影响中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移的实证检验[J].财经理论与实践,2021,(6):19-26
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刘莉君1,刘雪婧1,2,刘友金1 (1.湖南科技大学 商学院湖南 湘潭 411201 2.招商银行 郑州分行河南 郑州 450000) 
中文摘要:在剖析金融发展规模、深度、效率影响产业转移的作用机理之后,通过构建面板门槛模型,实证检验了东道国金融发展对中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移的非线性影响。结果表明:东道国金融发展水平对中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移具有显著的促进作用,但不同水平下的促进效应不同,具有非线性特征,当东道国金融发展水平高于4.6281时,其对中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移的促进作用显著增强;中国向“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移主要以发展中国家为东道国,而且较好的城镇化水平、完善的东道国制度、丰富的自然资源均对中国向“一带一路”沿线国家产业转移具有吸引和促进作用。鉴于此,应拓宽金融合作途径、完善金融设施建设、防范境外投融资风险以促进中国与“一带一路”国家间产业转移共生发展。
中文关键词:金融发展  产业转移  “一带一路”  面板门槛模型
 
Empirical Study on the Impact of Host Country Financial Development on Industrial Transfer between China and "Belt and Road" Countries
Abstract:After analyzing the effect mechanism of financial development scale, depth and efficiency on industrial transfer, and by constructing the panel threshold model, the nonlinear influence of host country financial development on industrial transfer between China and "Belt and Road" countries is empirically tested. The research shows that the level of financial development of the host country has a significant role in promoting the industrial transfer between China and the "Belt and Road" countries, but the promotion effect of different levels is different and the characteristics is nonlinear. When the host country financial development level is higher than 4.6281, its promoting effect of the industry transfer between China and "Belt and Road" countries is significantly enhanced. China's industrial transfer to "Belt and Road" countries mainly takes developing countries as host countries, and the better urbanization level, the perfect host country system and the abundant natural resources all have the attraction and the promoting effect to China's industrial transfer to "Belt and Road" countries. Therefore, on promoting industrial transfer between China and "Belt and Road" countries,policy suggestions are put forward from the aspects of broadening financial cooperation channels, perfecting the construction of financial facilities and preventing overseas investment and financing risks.
keywords:financial development  industrial transfer  "Belt and Road"  Panel Threshold Model
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