信托业发展与经济增长——基于我国省际面板数据的实证分析
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引用本文:陈 涵1,2,谢家智1.信托业发展与经济增长——基于我国省际面板数据的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2021,(4):48-57
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陈 涵1,2,谢家智1 (1.西南大学 经济管理学院重庆 4007002.重庆财经职业学院 博士后科研工作站重庆 402160) 
中文摘要:基于金融发展理论分析信托业发展的经济效应传导机制,在数据可收集的前提下,采用2004-2018年我国各省市信托公司的面板数据,运用静态面板数据模型和动态面板数据的系统GMM估计方法对信托业发展和经济增长的关系进行实证分析,结果显著证明了信托业发展能促进经济增长,反映信托业发展的重要指标——新增集合信托规模、数量以及实收信托规模的增加能显著提高人均GDP增长率和GDP增长率。因此需大力发展我国信托业,回归“受人之托,代人理财”的信托本源,提高信托业发展质量,推动经济增长。
中文关键词:信托业发展  经济增长  面板数据  GMM
 
Trust Industry Development and Economic Growth——Empirical Analysis Based on Inter-Provincial Panel Data in China
Abstract:With the rapid development of trust industry in the past 40 years, trust industry has become one of the four pillars of China's financial industry, but whether the development of trust industry can promote economic growth has not been systematically studied. Based on the theory of financial development, this paper analyzes the economic effect transmission mechanism of trust industry development. On the premise that the data can be collected, this paper uses the panel data of trust companies in China's provinces and cities from 2004 to 2018, and uses the static panel data model and the System GMM estimation method of dynamic panel data to empirically analyze the relationship between trust industry development and economic growth. The results show that trust industry is a significant evidence Development can promote economic growth, and the increase of the scale and quantity of new collective trust, as well as the scale of paid in trust, an important indicator reflecting the development of trust industry, can significantly improve the per capita GDP growth rate and GDP growth rate. Therefore, we should vigorously develop the trust industry in China, return to the trust origin of "Being Trusted and Managing Assets on Behalf of the Trustor", improve the development quality of the trust industry, and promote economic growth.
keywords:development of the trust industry  economic growth  panel data  GMM
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