农户风险偏好对林业投入决策的影响研究——以广东省集体林区为例
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引用本文:陈茜1,2 ,段伟3.农户风险偏好对林业投入决策的影响研究——以广东省集体林区为例[J].财经理论与实践,2019,(5):55-61
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陈茜1,2 ,段伟3 (1.广东金融学院 会计学院广东 广州510521 2.北京林业大学 经济管理学院北京1000833.华南农业大学 经济管理学院广东 广州510631) 
中文摘要:以广东省集体林区农户为研究对象,以前景理论为基础,采用经济学实验测度农户风险偏好,并用Heckman模型对样本农户风险偏好对其经营意愿与投入强度等决策的影响关系进行分析。结果表明:样本农户大多呈现风险厌恶的特征;农户的风险厌恶程度、损失厌恶程度以及对事件判断的主观概率均会对其投入决策产生不同程度的影响;其经营决策并非遵循理性经济人的收益最大化,而是遵循“安全第一”的法则,面对风险等级较高的林业项目投入意愿较弱,投入强度较低。
中文关键词:农户  风险偏好  林业投入决策
 
The Impact of Household Risk Preference on Forestry Investment Decisions Based on the Collective Forest Region of Guangdong
Abstract:Based on the prospect theory, this paper studied the households of the collective forest region of Guangdong, analyzed the impact of household risk preference on their forestry investment decisions by Heckman Model, which based on the households risk preference data tested by the economic experiment. The results show that most households are risk averse; their risk preference, loss aversion degree and subjective weighted probability on future events have significant impact on their forestry investment decisions. The decision-making of households who are risk averse do not comply with the rational-economic assumption of revenue maximization but loss minimization. Therefore, households who are risk averse are likely to reject the forestry projects with high uncertainty and make less investment.
keywords:Household  Risk preference  Forestry investment decision
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