经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析 |
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引用本文:谢志明1,晏 奎1,周乐明2,杨盼盼1.经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2017,(6):113-118 |
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中文摘要:采用线性面板计量方法,依据2000~2014年中国30个省区CO2排放因子数据,考量经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡关系。结果表明:工业经济部门能源消费是导致CO2排放增加的重要因素;能源强度与CO2排放之间存在显著相关性与长期均衡性,能源强度降低1%,CO2排放量将减少0.22%;可再生能源替代化石能源对CO2排放具有长期抑制作用,可再生能源占比每增加1%,CO2排放量将减少0.48%。鉴此,应转变经济增长方式,实现能源转型战略,包括提高能源效率、可再生能源替代等政策建议。 |
中文关键词:经济增长 能源效率 可再生能源替代 碳排放 |
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Research of Long-run Equilibrium between Economic Growth/ Energy Transformation and CO2 Emissions——An Empirical Study Based on Provincial Panel Data Analysis |
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Abstract:The linear panel measurement method was used to analyze the data of CO2 emission factors in 30 provinces in China during 2000-2014. The results of the empirical study are obtained as follows. Energy consumption is an important factor leading to the increase of CO2 emissions in the industrial sector; there is a significant correlation between energy intensity and CO2 emissions and long-term equilibrium; energy intensity decreased by 1%, CO2 emissions will be reduced by 0.22%; renewable energy to replace fossil fuels has a long-term inhibition of CO2 emissions, renewable energy accounts for each increase of 1%, CO2 emissions will be reduced by 0.48%. This paper also puts forward some suggestions on how to change the mode of economic growth and realize the strategy of energy transformation, including improving energy efficiency and renewable energy. |
keywords:economic growth energy efficiency renewable energy alternative CO2 emissions |
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