经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析
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引用本文:谢志明1,晏 奎1,周乐明2,杨盼盼1.经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡——基于省级面板数据的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2017,(6):113-118
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谢志明1,晏 奎1,周乐明2,杨盼盼1 (1. 长沙理工大学 经济管理学院湖南 长沙 410114 2. 湖南大学 电气与信息工程学院湖南 长沙 410004) 
中文摘要:采用线性面板计量方法,依据2000~2014年中国30个省区CO2排放因子数据,考量经济增长、能源转型与CO2排放的长期均衡关系。结果表明:工业经济部门能源消费是导致CO2排放增加的重要因素;能源强度与CO2排放之间存在显著相关性与长期均衡性,能源强度降低1%,CO2排放量将减少0.22%;可再生能源替代化石能源对CO2排放具有长期抑制作用,可再生能源占比每增加1%,CO2排放量将减少0.48%。鉴此,应转变经济增长方式,实现能源转型战略,包括提高能源效率、可再生能源替代等政策建议。
中文关键词:经济增长  能源效率  可再生能源替代  碳排放
 
Research of Long-run Equilibrium between Economic Growth/ Energy Transformation and CO2 Emissions——An Empirical Study Based on Provincial Panel Data Analysis
Abstract:The linear panel measurement method was used to analyze the data of CO2 emission factors in 30 provinces in China during 2000-2014. The results of the empirical study are obtained as follows. Energy consumption is an important factor leading to the increase of CO2 emissions in the industrial sector; there is a significant correlation between energy intensity and CO2 emissions and long-term equilibrium; energy intensity decreased by 1%, CO2 emissions will be reduced by 0.22%; renewable energy to replace fossil fuels has a long-term inhibition of CO2 emissions, renewable energy accounts for each increase of 1%, CO2 emissions will be reduced by 0.48%. This paper also puts forward some suggestions on how to change the mode of economic growth and realize the strategy of energy transformation, including improving energy efficiency and renewable energy.
keywords:economic growth  energy efficiency  renewable energy alternative  CO2 emissions
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