基于偏最小二乘的虚拟经济对实体经济影响研究
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引用本文:李正辉,彭佳颖,张羽.基于偏最小二乘的虚拟经济对实体经济影响研究[J].财经理论与实践,2013,(4):89-94
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作者单位
李正辉,彭佳颖,张羽 (1.湖南大学 金融与统计学院湖南 长沙4100792.湖南大学 应用经济学博士后流动站湖南 长沙410079) 
中文摘要:基于1992年至2011年相关数据,研究我国虚拟经济对实体经济的影响。在阐述虚拟经济对实体经济产生影响的理论基础上,建立虚拟经济评价指标体系及实体经济评价指标体系;构建以实体经济各评价指标为因变量,以虚拟经济各评价指标为自变量的多因变量对多自变量的偏最小二乘回归模型;实证结论表明:虚拟经济对实体经济影响的程度很高,虚拟经济各部分对实体经济各部分既有积极促进的影响作用,也有负向阻碍的影响作用。
中文关键词:虚拟经济  实体经济  影响研究  偏最小二乘法
 
The Empirical Research of the Impact of the Fictitious Economy to the Real Economy Based on the Partial Least Square Method
Abstract:Based on some relevant data from 1992 to 2011, how the fictitious economy influents the real economy has been researched in the paper. First of all, based on the literature review, the index systems of fictitious economy and real economy have been established. Then the partial least square method is used to construct the evaluation system using real economy index as dependent variable and fictitious index as independent variable. The results show that the significant effects exist from fictitious economy to real economy. However, the effects have both positive direction and negative direction.
keywords:Fictitious economy  Real economy  Influence research  Partial Least Square Method
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