新型工业化、城市化联动与经济生态化发展研究——基于湖南的相关实证
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引用本文:何文举,周辉.新型工业化、城市化联动与经济生态化发展研究——基于湖南的相关实证[J].财经理论与实践,2012,(1):104-108
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作者单位
何文举,周辉 (1.湖南大学 经济与贸易学院湖南 长沙410079
2.湖南商学院 经济与贸易学院,湖南 长沙410205) 
中文摘要:在综合相关研究指标体系的基础上,构建能反映地域新型工业化水平、城市化水平及生态化水平三个方面的评价指标体系。主要采用VAR(向量自回归)、VEC模型等来研究新型工业化、城市化联动与经济生态化发展之间的动态相关程度,定量分析三者之间的短期、长期影响。研究结论表明:从长期来看,三者之间并不存在显著的双向格兰杰因果关系,但存在显著的单向格兰杰因果关系;从短期冲击效应的角度来看,三者均受到自身的影响冲击最大,但存在显著的协整关系,而且随着年限的增加,三者之间的冲击影响程度会发生较大的转化。
中文关键词:新型工业化  城市化  联动  生态化  VEC模型
 
The study of New Industrialization, Urbanization and Economical Ecologization: The Empirical Analysis of Hunan
Abstract:Based on the literature review, the evaluation index system has been established to reflect the relationship among new industrialization, urbanization and economical ecologization. Using VAR and VEC models, the dynamic relationship has been analyzed. The results show that there is no two way Grainger causality among them, while there is significant one way Grainger causality among them. And from the short term view, the three suffer a lot the impacts from themselves, however, there exists the significant co integration relationship. Moreover along with the increasing years, the degree of impacts among them shall have great transformation.
keywords:New industrialization  Urbanization  Linkage  Ecologization  VEC model
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